The Tablet has arrived.
It is everything i want in a casual computing device.
It’s perfect for web browsing, watching videos, playing games, and reading. It’s powerful enough to do your basic word processing & presentation stuff, too. Coupled with the keyboard dock, I believe it is in fact good enough to be most people’s ONLY computer. The Tablet is the first computer built for mere mortals.
It is definitely the next computer I want my mom, dad, and sister to own, because my “Tech Support” role will simply evapourate.
Surprises from the event:
- It is, unfortunately, called the “iPad”
- I was right about the $499 price, but wrong in that I said that would be a subsidized price.
- I was very surprised that Steve Jobs did not position this as the only computer most people need, but I still think that’s exactly what it is
- I am dumbfounded that even though there is a mic, there is no front-facing webcam
- They decided to use the open ePub book format instead of developing their own format. I’m happy I was wrong in this case. Openness is SO important for books.
- No ability to annotate books. I’m upset about that. I always write in the margins.
- No iPhone OS updates, which means no multi-tasking.
- There appears to be a 1 inch border all the way around the screen
- The onscreen keyboard looks like the physical aluminum keyboards, and Steve typed on it using both hands at once.
- Full iWork office suite for just $29.97 USD is an amazing deal
- They totally stole Will Shipley’s “Delicious Library” bookcase interface for iBooks
A few insights:
- A friend complained that because it doesn’t run OSX, he won’t be able to program on it. Don’t be so sure. You can easily use Mozilla Bespin, which is a cloud-based IDE that runs inside Safari.
- Another said “I don’t get why I would want a data plan for this. I don’t need one for my laptop. My home wi-fi works just fine.” — The answer is that the iPad can be your ONLY computer, and your ONLY internet connection. You don’t need a router/wi-fi if this is your only computer. The unlimited 3G will do just fine.
- There’s something else you won’t need soon, if you have an iPad, and that is a phoneline or cellular voice contract. The iPad is a Trojan Horse. It is the first device I know of that has a mic and a 3G connection built right in that does NOT also require you to have a voice plan. Apple is smart. They now have a contract with AT&T and other carriers that lets this sort of device onto their network. My guess is that the iPod Touch is also covered by this contract. I predict that very soon, Skype (or iChat) will be positioned as a replacement for a voice plan. I know some geeks are already doing this, but I think Apple will make it happen in a mainstream kind of way. AT&T won’t like it, but they’ve already signed the contract.
But enough of that…. I made 64 Apple Tablet predictions. How’d I do?
32 of them were correct!
That’s 50% !
If the list of predictions had been pre-determined, and I just had to say “yes or no” that 50% would be pure luck. But that’s not how it was. I had no direction; an infinite array of possibilities. As such, 50% is amazing.
For the record, here’s a record of all my predictions, and how they actually turned out.
- R = right
- W = wrong
- H = half marks
- U = unknown/not mentioned
- R – New paradigm in computing. Redefines what a personal computer is.
- R – Aimed primarily at regular people, not computer people
- R – Designed to be a standalone primary computer
- R – Also useful as a secondary computer
- R – Great for reading books & magazines & websites
- R – Great for watching videos, listening to music, and playing games
- R – It will be the best & only device in its category
- R – It will be more important to Apple than the iPhone, because it will capture an as yet untapped demographic: people who don’t necessarily like or use computers
- R – likely called “Canvas”, not iTablet/iSlate/iPad/Tablet/Tableau
- R – customized version of the iPhone OS
- R – on-screen keyboard, just like the iPhone
- R – Tablet runs full iTunes natively, because the Tablet can be your only computer.
- W – Multi-user support
- W – Free MobileMe Lite accounts to host your user profile & basic data (bookmarks)W – coverflow everywhere (finger friendly)W – new file format for eBooks, like iTunes LP & Extras
- W – use tablet as multi-touch or pen-based input for another Mac
- W – run apps on your existing mac as if running on tablet (Unity-like abstraction)
- W – run apps on your existing mac through remote desktop client
- W – stream content from 1 Mac to another (i.e. from Mac to Tablet)
- R – new app: iLibrary for organizing & creating books
- R – new app: iPaint for drawing/painting directly ON the ‘canvas’
- W – new system preference to always allow apps to know my location
- W – multi-tasking by tapping into Apple’s existing background processes OR by limiting # of apps allowed to run at once, and revealing them through something like Expose, iPhone Safari’s browser pages, or desktop Safari’s favourite page thumbnails
- W – iTunes goes back to being all about music. Sports new web-based frontend.
- W – a new Store & syncing program is debuted, possibly called iGuide or Apple Media Store or simply “AppStore”
- W – possible social networking features regarding books
- W – Genius for Books
- W – move away from Google Maps to Apple’s own solution
- W – move away from Google Search to Bing Search
- W – built-in Friend tracking (like Google Latitude & Loopt)
- W – built-in navigation app with voice directions & controls
- R – no Adobe Flash support
- R – runs existing iPhone apps
- R – SDK available immediately
- H – Deals with all 6 major American publishers
- W – Allow anyone to author & sell their own books
- R – It will be flat. It won’t fold like other Tablet PCs
- R – 2 models, consumer (wifi) & pro (wifi+3g)
- R – 802.11n plus b/g
- R – faster CPU than iPhone (1.2Ghz?)
- R – faster graphics than iPhone (to drive larger display)
- U – more RAM than iPhone (512MB)
- R – 64GB of solid-state storage
- W – OR 32 plus some cloud-based storage (on MobileMe)
- W – either hybrid LCD/eInk OR 24 hours of eBook reading
- W – gorgeous 10.1 inch full colour screen with higher-than-standard DPI
- W – front facing webcam for video chat & multi-user facial recognition
- W – plastic body with multi-touch on the back
- W – available in the same colours as the current iPod Nano
- W – Zero dock connectors, 1 USB port. Again, the Tablet can be your primary computer. You can sync your iPod with your Tablet. You will not sync the Tablet with your Mac.
- R – no tactile/haptic keyboard
- R – no integrated kickstand. too breakable.
- R – no integrated home automation (too fringe)
- R – comes with a very nice travel case, or one is available at launch
- W – possibly launch a new Airport Express A/V
- R – much cheaper than the expected $1000
- W – $699-$799 unsubsidized
- H – $499 subsidized (by publishers or Apple itself)
- W – AT&T exclusivity ends. Hello Verizon.
- R – ships in March
- R – Initially said possible rebranding of MacBook. Later decided no.
- R – Initially said both models include a stylus for optional pen-based input.
- Later decided no (but it will be available as an option).
- H – Initially said docking station available. Later said no. Really unsure.
- H – Initially said keyboard supported. Later said no. Really unsure.