Last Minute WWDC 2011 Predictions
I'm a father, manager, programmer, scrum master, geek, & movie lover.
Questions:****1. When my files AutoSave, where are they saved to? can I choose? 2. How do i open a document other than last one i was working on in iOS? Can i browse Pages docs? 3. How much will additional cloud storage space cost? what is the maximum? (i want as much storage as Gmail offers) 4. Will the cloud match against other people’s uploaded tracks, so i don’t have to upload everything iTunes doesn’t already sell? 5. How should I manage my family’s AppleIDs so that our content (photos,mail,reminders,documents,etc) is only synced to our own devices? Right now we all use the same AppleID to purchase everything. I also don’t want my fiance’s apps to auto-download onto my device. 6. If you can only download Lion from inside OS X, how can you install it on a new, empty hard drive? Final Thoughts 1. **Lion is a steal at just $29 per household (not per Mac) 2. BlackBerry is dead meat. iMessage duplicates the one thing that made people call their BlackBerries “crackberries” - BlackBerry Messenger (aka BBM). The lack of BBM on iPhone is what has kept so many people on Blackberry to this day. Those days are over. 3. There’s still room for competition in the “cloud music” space. Amazon & Google’s cloud music lockers can’t compete with Cloud iTunes on ease of use (iTunes Match) or price BUT they do offer streaming, where Apple’s doesn’t. Spotify is still a force to be reckoned with. 4. iTunes Match monetizes pirated music. You pay $25/year to store it in the cloud, and Apple gives 70% of that to music labels & publishers. For the first time ever, artists will make *something* when you pirate their music. This will (presumably) also ensure that all your music has proper album art, so your CoverFlow no longer looks ridiculous. 5. iTunes Genius is about to get much better - it can now harvest all this info about songs that iTunes *doesn’t* sell, but which iTunes users listen to regularly. That will tell Apple which music to add to the store next. 6. Only Apple has anything close to iCloud, and it’s going to keep getting better (ok, linux probably has an equivalent, but who wants to use it & manage it?) 7. iOS becoming PC Free will lead to a nice spike in iOS device sales. I know at least 3 people who want iPads, but don’t have computers capable of running the latest iTunes. 8. The future of OSX, iOS & iCloud is clear: “login to any apple device and have all your apps and content appear” will happen. Yesterday’s announcement was a huge first step in that direction. It will be the killer feature of OS XI, iOS6 & iCloud2.**
Comments from my old blog:
(Zaid Rasid)[http://www.zaidrasid.com] said: You forgot to mention that Canada sucks when it comes to the availability of content. I really hope we’re in sync with the US. With regards to Questions 4, my assumption is that there is a universal database, so you don’t have to upload anything that is already there.
I also think for the music industry that the iTunes cloud is the first incentive I have seen yet to pay for music. From a consumer point of view, if I know that I can purchase a track and access it from the cloud, I would rather pay the convenience fee than to illegally download it.
The integration with Twitter is going to bring a lot more people onto twitter and start using it more. Wow.
Great post. at 2011-06-13 15:48:22
(David)[http://www.davidschultz.org] said: One sucky thing is it appears that the itunes match feature will not be available except in US. at 2011-06-07 16:45:53
(Derek)[http://www.derekmartin.ca] said: I think (and hope) it’s US-only just while it’s in beta, and when iOS5 & iCloud fully launch, then it will be available in more locations. That being said, I have heard that it won’t get to the UK any time soon (maybe Spotify has an exclusive agreement in the UK?) at 2011-06-07 18:06:24
All accounts will be created as normal “User” accounts by default, and you will be able to change them to Power User accounts in system preferences. - If you have a User account, you will interact with OS X exclusively through Lion’s Launchpad app and iCloud. You won’t have a dock, and you won’t have a Finder. - If you have a Power User account, you will interact with OS X through the dock (with stacks), iCloud, the Finder, and the filesystem. You’ll be able to use Launchpad if you want to, but you certainly won’t have to.
There are still lots of unanswered questions about when this will happen (Lion? OS 11?), and how we’ll deal with groups of related files of different types (i.e. my project uses pages documents, powerpoints, images, and video — can i still zip them up together? can i tag them with the same project name?). The future is very different, but I think it’s bright.
Comments from my old blog:
Ian said: Agreed on the app versus the filesystem. Arguably, iTunes is pretty much like this as well, since you need to manage it using the app and not files. I agree, they are tending more towards ‘databases for an app’. iTunes is more natural to browse using albums and songs than folders and files. The whole appliance thing is exactly right. Anyone who disagrees should switch to a thermostat where you have a folder full of various configuration files to select your temperature. And then give it to grandma. It’s absurd. Sure, files can be there behind the scenes, but regular people shouldn’t need to deal with them. The UI needs to be tailored to the appliance.
It is true that sometimes it makes sense for two different apps to interact with the same data. But it is instructive to look at how iOS partially deals with this problem. They make most of the function in the music app accessible via an API to other apps. So, other apps can just see the albums and songs as if they were part of that app. How would that work in the old PC days? You’d go through your folder hierarchy until you found your music folder, than drilled down and ‘opened’ the appropriate files with the different app. That stinks even for power users. Look for this notion to be extended as time goes on. App specific databases that other apps could access if you make something like an API.
The whole ‘power user’ idea may come to be. It seems possible that only a power user could install stuff not from the app store, etc.. As a power user type, I’m ok with all of this (in fact, I think it’s better) as long as there is a way to see the files in some fashion if you’re an expert. I’m fine with most of my documents being in the cloud too, as long as I feel like I own the data. And for me, owning the data means, it is stored somewhere (probably sync’ed with the cloud) on my machine, and I can get at it, with Finder or Terminal. But I suspect, and I’d totally be ok with, those two apps being hidden away somewhere and not on the dock by default. The ‘power user’ idea would be one way of taking care of that. Or at least, stuff Finder and Terminal in the Utilities subfolder. at 2011-06-16 21:00:31
(Zaid Rasid)[http://www.zaidrasid.com] said: Wow, great post. You nailed this head on.
I actually think that Power User will have there own OS totally separate from the dumb down machines. They’ll work with more powerful machines for the niche audience. I don’t think it will be combined in one. at 2011-06-24 19:29:56